TY  - BOOK
AU  - Silver, Nate
TI  - Signal and the noise: the art and science of prediction
SN  - 9780141975658
U1  - 519.542 
PY  - 2013///
CY  - UK
PB  - Penguin Books
KW  - Forecasting
N1  - Table of Contents:
Introduction
Chapter 1. A Catastrophic Failure of Prediction
Chapter 2. Are you Smarter than a Television Pundit? 
Chapter 3. All I Care About is W's and L's
Chapter 4. For Years you've Been Telling us That Rain is Green 
Chapter 5. Desperately Seeking Signal 
Chapter 6. How to Drown in Three Feet of Water 
Chapter 7. Role  Models
Chapter 8. Less and Less and Less Wrong 
Chapter 9. Rage Against the Machines 
Chapter 10. The Poker Bubble
Chapter 11. If You Can't Beat 'Em
Chapter 12. A Climate of Healthy Skepticism 
Chapter 13. What You Don't Know Can Hurt You.
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
Notes
Index

ER  -