Silver, Nate

Signal and the noise : the art and science of prediction by Silver Nate. - UK : Penguin Books, 2013. - 1245 p.

Table of Contents:
Introduction
Chapter 1. A Catastrophic Failure of Prediction
Chapter 2. Are you Smarter than a Television Pundit?
Chapter 3. All I Care About is W's and L's
Chapter 4. For Years you've Been Telling us That Rain is Green
Chapter 5. Desperately Seeking Signal
Chapter 6. How to Drown in Three Feet of Water
Chapter 7. Role Models
Chapter 8. Less and Less and Less Wrong
Chapter 9. Rage Against the Machines
Chapter 10. The Poker Bubble
Chapter 11. If You Can't Beat 'Em
Chapter 12. A Climate of Healthy Skepticism
Chapter 13. What You Don't Know Can Hurt You.
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
Notes
Index


9780141975658


Forecasting.

519.542 / SIL/SIG